Update on Iron Bowl prediction

10/1/07

Okay - still a lot of football to play and who knows how it will go. However, I must say, that no matter how the rest of the season goes and who wins what and who loses what, the Iron Bowl prediction does not look nearly as crazy as it did two weeks ago. Then, Auburn was 1-2 and UAT was 3-0. Now, they are both 3-2. Auburn's close win over KState looks pretty good given that KState just demolished Texas. Auburn's close loss in OT to SFlorida is not so embarrasing given that SFlorida is now solidly in the top 10 and just this pass week defeated a very good WViginia team. AU still lost to MSU which is NEVER a good thing, but, it does appear that MSU is not really a terrible football team.

Now, Auburn just beat UF for the second straight year. UF is 17-2 for the past two years, both loses coming to AU. Moreover, they beat them at the Swamp where they are nearly invincible.

Now, Coach Tub has a history of no matter how bad AU is, at least once per year, sometimes twice, they play lights out and win a game they should not even be competitive in. He also has a history of no matter how good AU is, at least once per year, sometimes more, AU loses a game that they should have won handily (other than '04!). AT this point right now, I do not know if the UF game falls into the former category, or if the MSU game falls into the latter. The next three weeks should tell us a lot. Vandy, Arkansas, and LSU. At this point, one would think AU should beat Vandy, the Ark game may be too close to call, and one would realistically think beating LSU at Death Valley would be almost out of the question. However, theoratically any and all of these three games could go either way and the way they go will tell us a lot about what kind of team this is.

Finally, though, I really think the next couple of years are very bright for AU. They are currently starting 3 true freshmen on the O-line. They are getting some experience for their versatile Freshman QB. They have several young RBs and Lester is coming back now and should be back next year.

But, in the end, we will only see on the field. That's why they play them!